Is infrastructure choaked with traffic?

Infrastructure capacity over-stretched in India?

India’s infrastructure, meaning Ports, Roads, airports, and railways, are they sufficient to meet the burgeoning demand of the economic growth of the Country which is expected to emerge as one of the largest economies of the World in a few year’s time?

Is India’s growth commensurate with the growth in automobile, bus, motor vehicle, two wheelers, three wheelers, four wheelers, six wheelers, and giant trucks that move Containers, passenger growth in trains, aero planes, and Container traffic through ports?

Has the Planning Commission estimated the normal growth and superfluous growth, and arrived at the forecasts that would accurately predict the demand: Supply? Year-on-Year, the Finance Ministers have worried about raising expenditure, bridging the gap, collecting taxes, and focusing on bringing down the fiscal deficit, and allotting a chunk of money for populist schemes with the Vote banks in view. Is there any sincerity in their spending for the downtrodden? Is it aimed at making their standard of living grow? With all the spending, the have-nots increase in geometrical progression. Why? Faint and half hearted attempts to give an impression that the Government looks at an egalitarian Society, when Laws are framed and passed to assist the rich grow to figure in the Forbes List!

You cannot plan growth of rural areas by experimenting with examples. Gross root economics is not what is visualized in the theories of master economists. Even Hayward and London School economists failed to come up with an alternate strategy when the world economy led by America and Europe fretted and fumed?

The Central Government can wash off its hands saying that Road Transport is a state subject. That is why, when they raise the price of petrol or diesel, they tell states to reduce the Commercial/Sales Tax. But it is a fact that the vehicle population, both existing and new, is out of proportion to the available infrastructure. India hardly spends 4% of the GDP when China allocates 9% of the GDP for infrastructure growth. Infrastructure capacity is wholly inadequate rather inconsistent. The supply has not picked momentum against demand. Sector has not achieved the growth commensurate with its potential. The Road usage should have been restricted to 70% of its capacity. In India, the Road capacity is stretched beyond 100%. Port capacities are extremely stretched which raise inefficiencies as the utilization has breached 100%. The traffic is growing at a Compounded Annual Growth rate of 20%, while new capacities created are sizably low. Strong domestic consumption and favourable demographies in terms of young working population in India has resulted in heavy growth of vehicles. To cite an example, the State Bank of India, Kerala Circle, (the smallest circle of the SBI in India) gave auto loans to the extent of Rs 354 Cr in 2009-10 against Rs 34 Cr in 2008-9. What is the percentage of increase? Can the roads in Kerala, limited as they are, accept this additional load?

Just to give comparative figures, the automobile population (including the two wheeler segment) in India during 1990-91 was 22 lakh against 8.59 Cr in 2008-9.

According to statistics provided by the Economic Survey (2009-10), 11,037 Kms of High way has been completed. The Survey says that 1, 45,000 Kms of rural roadways at a cost of Rs 37,000 Cr has been laid upto 2008-9. This year’s budget for the NHAI is Rs 6,972.47 by Cess Funds collected from petrol & diesel users. The Government concedes that it underwrites under-recoveries to the extent of Rs 20,000 Cr. The Cess collected through compulsory taxation is 30% of the under-recoveries. Government should explain that when such is the case, how they can say mathematically the oil Companies are in the red, even after an upward increase every three months. There is something wrong somewhere, taking into account IOC profit of Rs 10,000 Cr in 2008-9. This is a mathematical puzzle more complicated than Satyam. If we look at the budget of NHAI, Rs 6,942.47 Cr is collected through Cess, Rs 1515 Cr is ploughed by way of External assistance (in the form of grant & loan) Rs 379 Cr + Rs 1096.26 Cr borrowings, while the actual Government’s budgetary support is only Rs 159 Cr. Mr Kamalnath is right that when the planning commission coughs up just Rs 159 Cr through budgetary support while the Ministry’s fixture is to lay 20 Kms of highway totaling 7,000 Kms of national Highway per annum. That is to say Government spends Rs 2, 27,142.85 to build 1 km of National Highway.

Private Sector invested 19% of the total plan outlay as participation in the Highway Development Programme, while it has grown to 30% in the XI Plan. Only in the building of Roads, PPP has risen from 5% to 36%.

Term funding, both equity and debt, by Banks, is impossible for the simple reason that the gap in long term debt financing is largely due to asset: liability mismatch facing the Banking industry. Long term equity capacity is also difficult to come by. Permitting pension funds and insurance cos to invest in long term stabilized constructions like roads, directly and indirectly, would be cost effective. Indirect investment in infrastructure funds or creation of listed perpetual funds holding infrastructure assets where investors could invest with an annuity philosophy may be explored. Foreign Exchange Reserves may be deployed for asset creation at little costs but with high returns. If Planning Commission goes on singing in chorus as to the whereabouts of the funds, even though the deployment is in unproductive and unwanted sectors, the infrastructure development will halt the country’s progress.

Is Athirapally hydro project desirable?

If you are very choosy about God’s Own Country, you will describe a number of positive things that is unique to the state. You will also list out Kerala’s negativity, which will consume a larger paper than all the good that you wrote. Kerala is nevertheless a tourist’s paradise, for every year, a large trek of people from countries across the globe which are not noticeable in the atlas, land, come and seem to enjoy.

Kerala’s past, in the opening years of history has been formidable. It was known to the ancient sea faring tribes, voyagers, traders, merchants. There have been regular plying of vessels carrying riches from the Orient, and they take back invaluable pepper, spices, and other remarkable crops, which had great value in the international markets. Kerala people knew the stories of Arabian Nights much before other parts of India and the world were aware of. But these traders came strictly to trade, make a barter trade, bring their goods, take goods from Kerala. When Jesus Christ introduced to the world, Christianity, his direct disciple St Thomas, came to Kerala. There is vivid history of Christianity having spread to the four corners of Kerala. Christianity came here, much before it went to Europe. Islam also spread to Kerala much before the world was aware of this religion. The Jews came here in herds, when they had to run away for their lives. In the 15th century, we have seen the European powers one on the tail of others, coming to trade, colonizing the country and looting its wealth for their well being. English, French, Dutch, Portuguese, all belonged to this School.

It has been in the blood of Kerala people to voyage. Set sail by sea. This adventurous trait of the ordinary Kerala man, and the appetite to do hard work, and the vision to succeed, made him leave Indian shores in search of greener pastures. As a single person, the ordinary Keralite called mallu, in North India, always performed admirably, but as a team, there was always poor performance. This limitation of behaviour had strayed to every part of life of a Keralite. When six economists are gathered, there are seven opinions. But when six Keralites discuss, they will give ten opinions.

Opening up of educational institutions by Christian missionaries, had a large impact on the educational field. In the old Ernakulam, there were only two Government Colleges, one Maharajas College and another Law College. All the other colleges were privately run. There is a powerful educational lobby in Kerala, where education is both in private and public forms. Dr T M A Pai would have conceived the privatization of commercial education, but it was Kerala, who developed private education in such a big way. Though there was higher education, and many educational pursuits, there was no matching economic or industrial growth in Kerala, which could absorb the talents. Central investment was/is the lowest in Kerala. The private sector is also reluctant to set up their units in a big way. All these have made Kerala absorb consumerism, and not manufacturing activity. Trading is a way of life. There are more malls in Kochi than in a metro like Bangalore or Hyderabad. People’s craze for gold is higher here than in any other place. One Economist in a lecture pointed out that Kerala required more policing because of its craze for Golden jewellery which accounts for sizable investment in each household. His comment should be taken seriously. Second is fashion consciousness. I do not think, there is any other place in the world, where fashion is part of culture. Tradition is breadth. Festivities are part of every Keralite. Hospitality is a trade mark, special to Kerala. The religious cosmopolitan culture has held the state proud. But today, the name of Keralites crop up everywhere where a terror act has disturbed the public peace.

Militancy of labour has been benchmarked with Kerala, rightly or wrongly. This has been the chief reason, why industries fear to thread to Kerala territory even though they see lot of potential. In Kerala, they say there is rampant unemployment. But if I look around for a car driver, carpenter, plumber, electrician, I seldom get one. In Kerala, there is more Voluntary Unemployment than in any other state because the Gulf remittance from one member in the family takes care of the other members of the family making their both ends meet.

Vallarpadam Container terminal, growth of IT industry, growth in Kochi Export Processing zone, bio-technology and industrial hubs concept promoted by the Kerala Government has started yielding results. Cochin port, Nedumassery Airport, are all on their feet booking profits through improving their business. This is a good sign.

Then there was a Jairam Ramesh effect on Kerala based export merchandise. From 2007-9, when he was the Minsiter of State for Commerce, he highly patronized the Kerala sectors, tea, marine products, cashew, coconut, coir, and rubber. The price of 1 kg of rubber is Rs 175/-. This has been made possible by Jairam Ramesh effect. Every Saturday/Sunday, he used to tour Kerala, and actively participate in raising the standard and productivity of these industries. A tiny industry like Coir exports rose from Rs 475 Cr to Rs 800 Cr. Spices exports, got many schemes, Spices Park, branding of spices produce, participation in international exhibitions, developing use of vanilla, etc were outcome of his support.
Now let me come to Athirapally Project. The Kerala Government which never bothered to use Mr Jairam Ramesh, even though he was more than friendly to the Kerala crops, now accuse him of playing spoilt to Kerala’s development. When he was Minister of Commerce, I had taken him to Kodungallur, and showed him the historical monuments there, and explained to him. Based on his note, Central Government gave a bonanza of restoration of Kodungallur as a historical monument and sanctioned Crores of Rupees.

Athirapalli is one of the most bewitching waterfalls in Kerala having a high percentage of aquatic and eco diversity in the State. The outlay for the entire project is estimated at Rs 675 Cr. The expected power production is arrived as 163 MW. The dam is supposed to come up in the east of Chalakudi, along Chalakudi Annamali inter-state highway (Vazhakal forest division). The dam is expected to have a height of 23m and will have a width of 311 m. The dam is projected as a peak load station where Water will be diverted via penstock (pipe) to turbines downstream. A dam toe powerhouse downstream of the dam will be built to maintain Athirapally-Vazhachal Waterfalls. On the basis of the expert committee of River valley projects, power should be generated only between 7-11 p.m. during Feb1-May31 which are the driest months in the Kerala calendar. It has also ordained that 7.65 cubic metre/second (cumec) of water over the Atirapalli falls must be maintained always.

Environmentalists and public spirited hydrologists argue that the river experiences the maximum flow during July (102 cumecs) During the dry months of Feb,March and April, its flow is reduced to 14-15 cumec, and if the water level be reduced to 7.65 cumec during the dry months, there will be no waterfall at all. It is also argued that for power generation, 7 Km long penstock will absorb 86% of water from the dam, which indirectly will leave people living upto 7 kms devoid of drinking water, as no alternate sources exist. The project being a peak loading station, Chalakudi River will experience heavy fluctuation in its flow during the 4 hours when power is generated during which time the release of water can be as high as 130 cumec. Overflowing problems and affliction to downstream Chalakudi River diversion scheme which irrigates and provides drinking water to way side villages and panchayats in Trichur and Ernakulam district will cease. The riparian forests of the Chalakudy River have revealed the existence of a thick riparian vegetation of more than 10 metres width for a distance of 10.5 km downstream from Peringalkuth, covering an area of 58.5 hectares. Out of this, 26.4 hectares lie within the Vazachal area, including three large islands densely covered by riparian forests.
The riparian forests of the area have been found to be characterised by the presence of typical riparian species of plants, in addition to evergreen and semi-evergreen species. Out of the 319 species of flowering plants identified from the study area, 24 are endemic species of the Western Ghats and 10 are rare and endangered.
Moreover, the Chalakudy River is known for its diversity, as it contains 85 species of fresh water fishes out of the 152 species known from Kerala. Among these, 35 are endemic species of the Western Ghats and nine are considered to be endangered. Highly endangered Cochin Forest Cane turtle and the river bed is the nestling site of Malabar pied hombele birds. The area is supposed to be the best elephant conservation spot. . Any disruption to this ecofragile ecosystem will spell disaster.

The Power Engineers also feel that reduced water flow would not even help production of 26.7 MW as against 163 MW envisaged (234 million units of energy). In such a case, the cost: benefit analysis vis-à-vis the investment costs, running costs, maintaining costs, and recovery of costs would be unviable. The notional cost for the destruction of ecology and ecosystem would be unimaginable. Kerala’s density of forests has come down because the estuaries have been destroyed. Sea and Coastal erosion is taking a heavy toll due to unscientific dredging. Our fish sanctuaries have vanished, and bird habitats have disappeared. As per the state records, there is a transmission loss of 3020 million units. Why don’t we try to curb transmission losses by at least 10 to 15%, which will allow a nett energy of 303 million? The other way, is increase productivity of the existing hydro electric projects by up-grading the machines. Hydro electric projects are no answer for restoring balance to the power needs of the state. Mr Nehru called Bakranangal as the temple of India. Today, there are many alternate sources to produce electricity. And the cost of producing power is also cheaper.

In view of so many negative features that deters go ahead for the Athirapally hydro electric power station, can we blamed Hon’ble Shri Jairam Ramesh alone. We have to give solid arguments countering each of the points. Our eco systems are already overburdened. Any callous attitude or action will cause catastrophe tomorrow? We do not have the right to destroy the fragile eco-system which belongs to tomorrow’s generation.

India lives in her villages

India lives in her villages. It is the rural population who suffer the miseries of the socio-economic-political adventures of the urbanites. The rural villages are beseeched by problems, the basic being illiteracy, lack of knowledge(ignorance) in upbringing children, unrestricted growth of the family, non availability of nutrious food, uncared expectant mothers, absence of protein, deficient food for pregnant woman, infant mortality growth, etc.

They need good food, clothing and shelter. The Directive Principles of the State Policy envisage providing basic education, for which Anganvadi Schools can be used, lower primary schools be set up, adult education to the elders be provided through NGOs, vocational classes for womenfolk through volunteers, training for men be provided so that they can take up skill jobs according to their orientation and Hospitals for giving medical care. The villagers must be educated to maintain a clean environment. The Cultural department must organize talent finding camps so that the youth should be encouraged to bring out his latent talents. Mobile dispensaries need to be opened wherein medicines and tablets must be made available to the poor, sick, needy and distressed. Encourage starting of tiny, mini industries to bolster their incomes.

Mahatma Gandhi, whom we quote at the slightest pretext, advocated starting of village industries as a panacea to solve the problem of unemployment at the rural level. He, the fantast that he was, limnered his arguments that the spider web of our economy had its foundations in the grass root village economy. Most often, in spite of the hard work put in by the villagers, the villager is in a limbo because the so called rural employment programmes and dozens of Schemes chalked out by the KVIC and rural department of GoI seldom reach them; they are only in paper. He cannot, like the ‘limpet’ cry hoarse and crescendo for higher wages, in the guise of collective bargaining by the militant white collared comrades of the urban areas, who are never satisfied with their pay and demand more and more. His task of making both ends meet is gargantuan. Let us take perishable goods like vegetables. The farmer sells tomato during seasons at Bellary (Karnataka) at Rs 1.60 per Kg. But the price for same commodity at a distance of 100 Kms is Rs 12/-. If a net work of marketing in the form of community service is available to him, the farmer could beget a higher price and the consumer for 50% of the existing rates. The warehouses of Agricultural departments must ensure that they collect these produces at a fair value and transport it to the final market for disposal. These Marketing agencies should collect, pool all their collections at the manufacturing point and routed to various destinations where there is demand. Bellary (Karnataka) has a poultry cluster, where one egg costs 0.80 paise, while it sells at Rs 3.00 at Mangalore and Rs 4/- at Karwar (These figures were compiled by me in 1980 for the Government from central and coastal Karnataka). A little planning and coming together of a cluster of farmers could reap rich dividends for them.

The Zilla parishads, and Village panchayats along with District Rural Development Societies, should bring together a group of people in every village, and create a voluntary group of people who could be trained to take up marketing so that they can pass on their expertise at the village. A dedicated band of young men, who would help ligament the various sections, should be formed so that it will inure them to responsibilities from their wayward fanfaronade.

The labour skills of the villagers have not been tapped properly. A good artisan with deft fingers at Ankola (Kumta taluk) hardly gets Rs 60 per day; he is idle for the 6 months of the year; the same is the case with a diva, or a pastiche or a Conti writer. Their talents garnish the village and their lives syncopate leading them to misery.

With a little amount of training, exposure and right fora experience, many of the rural folk, can put up commendable performance in art, craft, cultural programmes, sport etc. The Heggodu experiment (Magasasy award winner Heggde’s School of Drama) have shown how far the hidden rural talents can be brought about through the medium of dramas. Establishment of rural theaters, film criticism/appreciation courses, School of drama and dance, vocational guidance training camps for spotting talents in Sports, people with the gift of the gab chosen through elocution and essay competitions will boost the rural children’s appetitive to perform well in the Competitions enabling spotlighting talents. The Pople’s Action for Development (PADI), Ford Foundation, UNICEF and a hoard of Organizations have manifold Schemes aimed at providing training to the rural folk.

The Anganvadi Schools can start as vehicles of thought and learning to the tiny tots. Good nutrious food can make them healthy. Cleanliness should be inculcated at this level itself. This will make them seek School education, so that literacy can be gradually increased.

For the elder village folk, recreation facilities should be provided. Community halls, parks, recreation centers must be part of the social milieu in the village. The shyness of the rural folks can be overcome through exposure. They do not perform or show their talents in urban platforms for fear of inferiority. It has become modish to say that rural areas are backward yet a few fantasts come forward.

The Rural electrification programme, providing irrigation facilities to a wide command area, planting trees, growing vegetations, can be done in the rural areas with the support of the people. Pure drinking water can be made available by constructing storage tanks, at least one in a village. But poor villages continue to remain poor due to scanty facilities. Basic facilities, how far they are provided is a hundred dollar question. The artificial comforts of urban towns or Cities may be ditty in the rural. The urbanite loathes rural areas, its settings and environment. But the natural rural environment and the rural demizes, would more than allegro compensate the shortfalls of rural conditions. Any takers?